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Gaadiidka vs Mogadishu City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Gaadiidka and Mogadishu City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Gaadiidka
15%
Draws
16%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Gaadiidka's 2.2 goals per match outpaces what Mogadishu City have produced (1.75).
  • Gaadiidka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 20%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Mogadishu City
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 18 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.2 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Mogadishu City
3:1
May 29, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Gaadiidka
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Mogadishu City
1:1
Jan 2, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Gaadiidka
1:0
Jul 29, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Mogadishu City
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 85 / 100
Mogadishu City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Gaadiidka remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mogadishu City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Mogadishu City
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
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Mogadishu City

(Away)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)