Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gabala 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Gabala 2 and Qarabag Agdam 2 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gabala 2
35%
Draws
37%
Qarabag Agdam 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Qarabag Agdam 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gabala 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Qarabag Agdam 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Qarabag Agdam 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala 2 Qarabag Agdam 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2023 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2
0:0
Dec 16, 2022 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Gabala 2
1:1
May 11, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Qarabag Agdam 2
0:2
Dec 17, 2021 I Liqa
Qarabag Agdam 2 vs Gabala 2
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 2 24 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala 2 Qarabag Agdam 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qarabag Agdam 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gabala 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Gabala 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Qarabag Agdam 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gabala 2 VS Qarabag Agdam 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
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Qarabag Agdam 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
1 : 3
Turan 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)