Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gabala 2 vs SumQayit FK 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Nasibov A.
30' Event
Maharramov R.
52' Event
Alasgarov S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gabala 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gabala 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gabala 2
30%
Draws
34%
SumQayit FK 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gabala 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gabala 2 lately — more wins on the board than SumQayit FK 2.
  • Win probability leans Gabala 2's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gabala 2 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 20%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala 2 SumQayit FK 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2023 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
4:1
Sep 19, 2022 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Gabala 2
2:3
May 17, 2022 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Gabala 2
1:3
Dec 23, 2021 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasibov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maharramov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbaszade J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 2 36 / 100
SumQayit FK 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala 2 SumQayit FK 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Gabala 2's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gabala 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gabala 2 VS SumQayit FK 2
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

SumQayit FK 2

(Away)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)