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Gabala vs Imisli FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu, Gabala
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Amoah I.
45' Event
Diogo Rollo
46'
Sub
Musayev M. In: Shahniyarov S.
Out: Musayev M.

AI Match Summary

Imisli FK in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imisli FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gabala
30%
Draws
29%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gabala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Imisli FK haven't matched Gabala's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gabala's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gabala Clean Sheet 68%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala Imisli FK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Imisli FK
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Imisli FK
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Gabala
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Gabala
1:0
Feb 13, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Gabala
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Rollo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 86 / 100
Imisli FK 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gabala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Imisli FK conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Gabala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gabala's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gabala VS Imisli FK
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala

(Home)
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
14 Aug
Turan
1 : 0
Gabala
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
21 May
Gabala
3 : 1
Shamakhi
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Imisli FK

(Away)
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
15 Aug
Araz PFK
0 : 0
Imisli FK
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
16 May
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 0
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)