Sport Picks
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Cup Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu, Gabala 
Match Events
31'
31'
Puchacz T.
48'
48'
Ba Loua A.
51'
51'
Aliyev N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-4, with Sabah Baku advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gabala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sabah Baku come out ahead of Gabala on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Gabala taking it.
- Sabah Baku arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sabah Baku here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gabala Clean Sheet 20%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gabala | Sabah Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 23 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.83 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
7:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
3:4
Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
0:0
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gabala Compare
Top Goalscorer Akinade I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rashidov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sabah Baku Compare
Top Goalscorer Puchacz T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mickels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gabala 49 / 100
Sabah Baku 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gabala Sabah Baku
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Gabala's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Gabala has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gabala VS Sabah Baku
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gabala
(Home) 28 May
Gabala
2 : 0 Mingachevir
21 May
Gabala
3 : 1 Shamakhi
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2 Gabala
09 May
Gabala
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
03 May
Zira FK
1 : 0 Gabala
Page 1 of 7
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0 Mingachevir
21 May
Gabala
3 : 1 Shamakhi
09 May
Gabala
1 : 1 Qarabag Agdam
25 Apr
Gabala
1 : 1 Araz PFK
12 Apr
Gabala
0 : 1 Imisli FK
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Sabah Baku
(Away) 21 Jul
Sabah Baku
1 : 0 KuPS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2 Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0 TNS
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1 Sabah Baku
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 7
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2 Sabah Baku
02 Jul
Polissya Zhytomyr
4 : 1 Sabah Baku
28 Jun
Ferencvaros
1 : 1 Sabah Baku
24 Jun
Univ. Craiova
1 : 1 Sabah Baku
22 May
Turan
1 : 2 Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sabail0
Shamakhi1
Goygol0
Baku Sporting2
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
Karvan3
Sheki City1
Lokbatan2
Imisli FK3
TBD-
Sabah Baku-
Gabala5
Mingachevir1
Cebrayil0
Safa Baku3
Shimal0
Sahdag Qusar2
Dinamo Baki0
Turan5
Araz PFK-
TBD-
Kapaz6
Agstafa Gencleri1
FC Khankendi1
Difai Agsu2
Zaqatala PFK0
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK-
TBD-
Neftci Baku6
MOIK Baku2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi1
Baku Sporting0
Qarabag Agdam3
Karvan0
Imisli FK1
Sabah Baku2
Gabala2
Safa Baku1
Sahdag Qusar1
Turan2
Araz PFK0
Kapaz1
Difai Agsu1
SumQayit FK3
Zira FK1
Neftci Baku0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sabah Baku4
Gabala3
Turan3
Kapaz0
SumQayit FK0
Zira FK2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam3
Sabah Baku4
Turan0
Zira FK2
Final
Sabah Baku2
Zira FK1
