Sport Picks
Match Events
52'
52'
Ajmni A.
55'
55'
Ajmni A.
63'
63'
Zakaria A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 game between Gafsa and Moknine finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gafsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gafsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gafsa come out ahead of Moknine on wins alone.
- Gafsa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 68%
Moknine Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gafsa | Moknine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Moknine
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Gafsa
0:0
May 27, 2023 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Gafsa
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Moknine
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gafsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Ajmni A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zakaria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Moknine Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gafsa 50 / 100
Moknine 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gafsa Moknine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gafsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gafsa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Moknine let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Gafsa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gafsa VS Moknine
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gafsa
(Home) 12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0 Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0 Jendouba Sport
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
28 Mar
Gafsa
2 : 1 Djelma
21 Feb
Gafsa
0 : 1 Kasserine
Page 1 of 3
Moknine
(Away) 12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Moknine
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3 Moknine
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Moknine
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3 Moknine
04 Apr
Djelma
1 : 1 Moknine
27 Feb
Kasserine
1 : 1 Moknine
31 Jan
Gafsa
3 : 0 Moknine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
