Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gagra vs Dusheti

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Dusheti have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Gagra have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Gagra have won 2 to Dusheti's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 16, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Dusheti. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gagra
20%
Draws
42%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dusheti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Gagra haven't matched Dusheti's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gagra's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Dusheti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gagra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gagra Clean Sheet 15%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra Dusheti
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs Dusheti
0:0
Oct 1, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs Dusheti
2:1
Aug 12, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Gagra
0:0
Mar 10, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs Gagra
0:0
Sep 16, 2009 Georgian Cup
Dusheti vs Gagra
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 39 / 100
Dusheti 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gagra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gagra remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gagra scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Dusheti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS Dusheti
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
17 Aug
Gagra
1 : 1
Spaeri
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2
Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4
Gagra
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
Page 1 of 6

Dusheti

(Away)
15 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 2
Dusheti
08 Aug
Dusheti
2 : 4
Samtredia
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2
Dusheti
25 Jul
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 1
Dusheti
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Samtredia -
Iberia 1999 -
Quarter-finals
Gagra -
Dusheti -
Dila Gori -
Samgurali -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Dinamo Batumi -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -