Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gagra vs Iberia 1999

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra host Iberia 1999 in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Gagra at 1.5 goals for, 0.88 against; Iberia 1999 at 1.63 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Gagra have won 0 to Iberia 1999's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back Iberia 1999 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gagra
33%
Draws
27%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gagra haven't matched Iberia 1999's recent run of results.
  • Gagra are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iberia 1999 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gagra Clean Sheet 19%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra Iberia 1999
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:3
May 29, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 40 / 100
Iberia 1999 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gagra remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gagra found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Iberia 1999's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS Iberia 1999
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1
Gagra
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
24 Jul
Margveti 2006
1 : 3
Iberia 1999
21 Jul
Iberia 1999
0 : 2
Slovan Bratislava
14 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 2
Flora
08 Jul
Flora
2 : 3
Iberia 1999
01 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 3
Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)