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Gagra vs Iberia 1999 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Gurchiani L.
12' Event
Goshteliani G.
38'
Sub
Ende S. In: Lucas Cafe
Out: Ende S.

AI Match Summary

Gagra in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gagra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gagra
20%
Draws
51%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gagra haven't matched Iberia 1999's recent run of results.
  • Iberia 1999 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Iberia 1999 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Gagra Clean Sheet 22%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra Iberia 1999
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
2:0
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gagra Compare

Top Goalscorer Goshteliani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Iberia 1999 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 24 / 100
Iberia 1999 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Iberia 1999 conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Gagra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS Iberia 1999
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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Iberia 1999

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)