Sport Picks
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi 
Match Events
5'
5'
Mamuchashvili V.
Assist: Deisadze D.
45'
45'
Andreychuk A.
Assist: Wanderson
55'
55'
Mane S.
AI Match Summary
The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Gagra and Torpedo Kutaisi finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gagra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Torpedo Kutaisi come out ahead of Gagra on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Gagra taking it.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Gagra Clean Sheet 68%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gagra | Torpedo Kutaisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
2:1
Apr 24, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gagra Compare
Top Goalscorer Andreychuk A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skrypnyk I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Torpedo Kutaisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Mamuchashvili V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Felipe Pires
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gagra 95 / 100
Torpedo Kutaisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gagra Torpedo Kutaisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gagra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Gagra scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Torpedo Kutaisi has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Gagra VS Torpedo Kutaisi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gagra
(Home) 15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1 BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2 Urartu
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0 Samgurali
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1 Gagra
14 Jun
Gagra
2 : 1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1 BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2 Urartu
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0 Samgurali
14 Jun
Gagra
2 : 1 Dinamo Tbilisi
24 May
Gagra
2 : 0 Dila Gori
Page 1 of 3
Torpedo Kutaisi
(Away) 16 Jul
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 3 Zira FK
08 Jul
Zira FK
3 : 0 Torpedo Kutaisi
01 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 3 Torpedo Kutaisi
27 Jun
Dila Gori
0 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 0 Spaeri
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
Zira FK
3 : 0 Torpedo Kutaisi
01 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 3 Torpedo Kutaisi
27 Jun
Dila Gori
0 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
13 Jun
Samgurali
2 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
24 May
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iberia 1999 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Rustavi | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 31 |
| 4 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 30:19 | 27 |
| 5 | Dinamo Batumi | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Dila Gori | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 21:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 8 | Spaeri | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Gagra | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 13:34 | 11 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)