Sport Picks
Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori 
Match Events
17'
17'
Shimizu K.
46'
46'
Sub
Okuda K. In: Ashibe K.
Out: Okuda K.
54'
54'
Jong S.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Gainare Tottori and Fukushima United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gainare Tottori.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainare Tottori
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gainare Tottori carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Gainare Tottori's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 10%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gainare Tottori | Fukushima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Gainare Tottori
2:3
Apr 6, 2024 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gainare Tottori Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamamoto S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Fukushima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ashibe K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gainare Tottori 83 / 100
Fukushima United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gainare Tottori Fukushima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gainare Tottori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fukushima United conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Gainare Tottori scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Fukushima United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gainare Tottori VS Fukushima United
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Gainare Tottori
(Home) 11 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Gifu
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1 Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Gifu
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 4
Fukushima United
(Away) 10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2 Reilac Shiga
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7 Mito
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1 Fukushima United
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
26 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 0 Fukushima United
22 Aug
Gainare Tottori
2 : 1 Fukushima United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
