Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Axis Bird Stadium

Sagan Tosu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gainare Tottori play Sagan Tosu in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gainare Tottori averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Sagan Tosu averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Gainare Tottori won 0, Sagan Tosu won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Gainare Tottori and 1.75 for Sagan Tosu. This points to a Sagan Tosu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Gainare Tottori

11%

Draws

Sagan Tosu

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gainare Tottori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Gainare Tottori has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sagan Tosu.
Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Gainare Tottori.
League standings and seasonal metrics in J2/J3 League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 68%

Sagan Tosu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gainare Tottori	Sagan Tosu
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	15
Draws	0	3
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League

Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Gainare Tottori vs Sagan Tosu

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Sep 4, 2011 J2 League

Gainare Tottori vs Sagan Tosu

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:6

Aug 14, 2011 J2 League

Sagan Tosu vs Gainare Tottori

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gainare Tottori Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Sagan Tosu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuba K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jojo K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainare Tottori 86 / 100

Sagan Tosu 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gainare Tottori Sagan Tosu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sagan Tosu let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gainare Tottori went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sagan Tosu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gainare Tottori VS Sagan Tosu

1.88 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15