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Gainsborough vs Curzon Ashton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gainsborough host Curzon Ashton in the NPL Premier Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Gainsborough at 1.59 goals for, 1.52 against; Curzon Ashton at 1.46 for, 1.82 against. Head-to-head, Gainsborough have won 2 to Curzon Ashton's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2018, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.94) back Gainsborough to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gainsborough
15%
Draws
49%
Curzon Ashton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Gainsborough have won more games recently than Curzon Ashton.
  • Gainsborough are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainsborough Curzon Ashton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2018 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough
2:0
Oct 28, 2017 National League North
Gainsborough vs Curzon Ashton
1:0
Feb 25, 2017 National League North
Gainsborough vs Curzon Ashton
0:1
Oct 29, 2016 National League North
Curzon Ashton vs Gainsborough
1:2
Mar 8, 2016 National League North
Gainsborough vs Curzon Ashton
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainsborough 47 / 100
Curzon Ashton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainsborough Curzon Ashton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainsborough found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Curzon Ashton has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gainsborough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gainsborough VS Curzon Ashton
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainsborough

(Home)
13 Oct
Gainsborough
3 : 1
Ilkeston
10 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 2
Gainsborough
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3
Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6

Curzon Ashton

(Away)
13 Oct
Warrington Rylands
5 : 1
Curzon Ashton
10 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Hyde
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
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