Sport Picks

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Gainsborough vs Grantham Town

England England

NPL Premier Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Keane C.
17' Event
Galinski S.
22' Event
Hall A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Premier Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gainsborough
15%
Draws
39%
Grantham Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainsborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gainsborough have won more games recently than Grantham Town.
  • Model gives Gainsborough a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 20%
Grantham Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainsborough Grantham Town
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 FA Cup
Gainsborough vs Grantham Town
2:1
Apr 18, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Grantham Town
2:2
Dec 27, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Grantham Town vs Gainsborough
1:1
Apr 5, 2021 NPL Premier Division
Grantham Town vs Gainsborough
0:0
Dec 26, 2020 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Grantham Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gainsborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Keane C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galinski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Grantham Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainsborough 49 / 100
Grantham Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainsborough Grantham Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainsborough found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Grantham Town let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Gainsborough went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gainsborough VS Grantham Town
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainsborough

(Home)
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1
Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4
Gainsborough
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 7

Grantham Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 3
Mickleover
08 Jul
Grantham Town
2 : 0
Lincoln Utd.
14 Sept
Gainsborough
2 : 1
Grantham Town
07 Sept
Grantham Town
0 : 2
Coleshill Town
31 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 0
Newark and Sherwood
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buxton 42 23 12 7 80:38 81
2 South Shields 42 23 9 10 71:40 78
3 Scarborough Athletic 42 21 11 10 61:48 74
4 Matlock 42 21 10 11 59:36 72
5 Warrington Town 42 20 11 11 67:47 71
6 Bamber Bridge 42 21 6 15 67:59 69
7 Whitby 42 19 9 14 57:50 66
8 Stafford 42 15 16 11 55:39 61
9 United of Manchester 42 18 7 17 66:57 61
10 Morpeth 42 17 10 15 67:59 61
11 Lancaster 42 17 5 20 44:51 56
12 Mickleover 42 15 10 17 54:65 55
13 Nantwich 42 14 10 18 46:52 52
14 Ashton United 42 13 12 17 50:59 51
15 Radcliffe 42 15 6 21 56:73 51
16 Gainsborough 42 12 14 16 40:52 50
17 Hyde 42 14 8 20 52:65 50
18 Stalybridge 42 15 7 20 51:59 49
19 Atherton Collieries 42 13 9 20 34:45 48
20 Basford Utd. 42 12 9 21 32:49 45
21 Witton Albion 42 12 7 23 48:78 43
22 Grantham Town 42 8 10 24 45:81 34
Promotion - National League North 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2021/2022 (Play Offs)