Sport Picks
Gainsborough vs Ilkeston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
2'
2'
Mulhern E. F.
(Penalty)
10'
10'
Dwyer A.
(Penalty)
57'
57'
Kokkinos R.
AI Match Summary
Gainsborough in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gainsborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainsborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gainsborough lately — more wins on the board than Ilkeston.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Gainsborough taking it.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 18%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gainsborough | Ilkeston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Ilkeston
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Ilkeston
0:0
Aug 12, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Gainsborough
0:1
Mar 4, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Ilkeston
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Gainsborough
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gainsborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Kokkinos R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ashton O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Ilkeston Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gainsborough 85 / 100
Ilkeston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gainsborough Ilkeston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ilkeston let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Away concern: Ilkeston has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Gainsborough found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Gainsborough VS Ilkeston
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gainsborough
(Home) 10 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 2 Gainsborough
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3 Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3 Anstey Nomads
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
22 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 1 Bury FC
Page 1 of 3
Ilkeston
(Away) 10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5 Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Guiseley
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3 Anstey Nomads
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0 Ilkeston
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 31:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34:23 | 25 |
| 5 | Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:26 | 20 |
| 11 | Bury FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 12 | Alfreton | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:33 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:25 | 11 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16:32 | 10 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15:23 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8:34 | 7 |
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