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Gainsborough vs Liversedge

England England

NPL Premier Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Sellars-Fleming T.
60' Event
Donaldson C.
64' Event
Waldock L.

AI Match Summary

Gainsborough in this NPL Premier Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gainsborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gainsborough
20%
Draws
29%
Liversedge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gainsborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gainsborough have won more games recently than Liversedge.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Gainsborough taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 17%
Liversedge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainsborough Liversedge
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.42 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Liversedge
4:0
Jan 31, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Liversedge vs Gainsborough
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gainsborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Sellars-Fleming T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donaldson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Liversedge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainsborough 66 / 100
Liversedge 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainsborough Liversedge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gainsborough scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Liversedge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gainsborough has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gainsborough VS Liversedge
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainsborough

(Home)
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4
Gainsborough
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2
Gainsborough
25 Aug
Quorn
2 : 2
Gainsborough
22 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 1
Bury FC
Page 1 of 7

Liversedge

(Away)
29 Aug
Liversedge
0 : 5
Bootle
05 Jul
Liversedge
0 : 0
Curzon Ashton
07 Sept
Liversedge
1 : 2
Avro
23 Jul
Liversedge
0 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
19 Jul
Liversedge
1 : 0
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Shields 42 25 10 7 71:39 85
2 Warrington Town 42 21 14 7 70:39 77
3 Bamber Bridge 42 22 7 13 62:63 73
4 Gainsborough 42 18 15 9 74:41 69
5 Matlock 42 19 11 12 56:49 68
6 Hyde 42 18 12 12 64:42 66
7 Radcliffe 42 17 15 10 55:49 66
8 United of Manchester 42 19 9 14 68:48 63
9 Marine 42 17 10 15 56:45 61
10 Warrington Rylands 42 17 9 16 64:55 60
11 Lancaster 42 15 13 14 51:51 58
12 Stafford 42 15 12 15 52:53 57
13 Guiseley 42 16 7 19 54:54 55
14 Ashton United 42 16 8 18 58:64 53
15 Whitby 42 14 10 18 45:54 52
16 Marske United 42 15 5 22 57:79 50
17 Morpeth 42 14 7 21 55:63 49
18 Atherton Collieries 42 11 14 17 38:57 47
19 Nantwich 42 12 10 20 44:55 46
20 Stalybridge 42 10 12 20 50:64 42
21 Liversedge 42 11 7 24 48:86 40
22 Belper Town 42 7 9 26 44:86 30
Promotion - National League North 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2022/2023 (Play Offs)