Sport Picks
Gainsborough vs Stockton Prediction & H2H Stats
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
3'
3'
Ashton O.
33'
33'
Helliwell J.
60'
60'
Williams T.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Gainsborough and Stockton finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gainsborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gainsborough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Gainsborough's 1.39 goals per match outpaces what Stockton have produced (1.25).
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Gainsborough taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 68%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gainsborough | Stockton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Stockton
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Gainsborough
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Stockton
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Gainsborough
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Stockton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gainsborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Ashton O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Helliwell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Stockton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gainsborough 50 / 100
Stockton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gainsborough Stockton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stockton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Gainsborough scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Gainsborough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gainsborough VS Stockton
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gainsborough
(Home) 26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
22 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 1 Bury FC
18 Aug
Gainsborough
4 : 1 Stockton
Page 1 of 3
Stockton
(Away) 26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1 Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1 Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1 Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1 Stockton
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1 Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1 Stockton
29 Aug
Avro
5 : 3 Stockton
25 Aug
Guiseley
3 : 0 Stockton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Workington | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Warrington Rylands | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Alfreton | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Whitby | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 15 | Hyde | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 16 | AFC Emley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 19 | Stockton | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:22 | 7 |
| 21 | Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
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