Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gaj Mace vs Vrapce

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gaj Mace
20%
Draws
52%
Vrapce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaj Mace have won more games recently than Vrapce.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Vrapce taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 10%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaj Mace Vrapce
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.35 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Vrapce
1:1
Oct 6, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Gaj Mace
0:2
May 9, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Vrapce
4:1
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Gaj Mace
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaj Mace 10 / 100
Vrapce 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaj Mace Vrapce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Vrapce conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gaj Mace stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaj Mace VS Vrapce
2.13 Goals Scored 2.43
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaj Mace

(Home)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 7

Vrapce

(Away)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)