Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Hamilton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Netherdale, Galashiels
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Hamilton have shipped 0.67 goals a game lately, while Gala Fairydean Rovers have conceded 1.97 and scored 1.45. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 2.13) point toward Hamilton. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
20%
Draws
71%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Gala Fairydean Rovers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hamilton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Hamilton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gala Fairydean Rovers Hamilton
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 24
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.45 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gala Fairydean Rovers 10 / 100
Hamilton 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gala Fairydean Rovers Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gala Fairydean Rovers scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Hamilton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 33 matches.

Gala Fairydean Rovers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gala Fairydean Rovers VS Hamilton
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gala Fairydean Rovers

(Home)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 7

Hamilton

(Away)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)