Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2008/2009

Pozuelo de Alarcon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Galactico Pegaso play Pozuelo de Alarcon in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galactico Pegaso averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Pozuelo de Alarcon averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Galactico Pegaso won 2, Pozuelo de Alarcon won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2009 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Galactico Pegaso and 1.05 for Pozuelo de Alarcon. This points to a Pozuelo de Alarcon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Galactico Pegaso

24%

Draws

46%

Pozuelo de Alarcon

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Galactico Pegaso picked up more points recently compared to Pozuelo de Alarcon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Galactico Pegaso Clean Sheet 22%

Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Galactico Pegaso	Pozuelo de Alarcon
Matches Played	32	36
Wins	6	14
Draws	4	12
Losses	22	10
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.81	0.89

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Galactico Pegaso vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Nov 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Galactico Pegaso

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galactico Pegaso 31 / 100

Pozuelo de Alarcon 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Galactico Pegaso Pozuelo de Alarcon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pozuelo de Alarcon or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galactico Pegaso attacking → ← attacking Pozuelo de Alarcon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galactico Pegaso scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Pozuelo de Alarcon let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Galactico Pegaso went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Pozuelo de Alarcon lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 54

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RSD Alcala	40	27	7	6	65:22	88
2	Parla	40	22	11	7	63:34	77
3	Rayo Majadahonda	40	20	9	11	53:37	69
4	Mexico	40	19	11	10	59:43	68
5	Rayo Vallecano B	40	17	14	9	52:34	65
6	Getafe B	40	18	8	14	62:46	62
7	CD Ciempozuelos	40	15	15	10	49:42	60
8	Real Madrid C	40	16	10	14	60:46	58
9	Vallecas CF	40	15	12	13	56:53	57
10	CF Fuenlabrada	40	15	11	14	50:48	56
11	CD Mostoles	40	15	11	14	48:41	56
12	Santa Ana	40	15	8	17	46:52	53
13	San Sebastian Reyes	40	12	17	11	35:34	53
14	Atl. Madrid C	40	13	14	13	52:49	53
15	Atletico Pinto	40	14	10	16	53:49	52
16	Galactico Pegaso	40	13	13	14	48:45	52
17	Puerta Bonita	40	12	15	13	35:41	51
18	CD Las Rozas	40	12	10	18	58:62	46
19	Club Deportivo Colonia Ofigevi	40	6	12	22	35:59	30
20	Pozuelo de Alarcon	40	6	11	23	41:75	29
21	Collado Villalba	40	1	5	34	31:139	8