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Galapagar vs Parla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gomez de Figueroa A.
40' Event
Torre J.
50' Event
Arce J.

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Galapagar
20%
Draws
10%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Parla haven't matched Galapagar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Galapagar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Parla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.24 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:5
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
3:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 95 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Galapagar's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Galapagar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS Parla
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 6

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)