Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Galapagar vs Parla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gomez de Figueroa A.
40' Event
Torre J.
50' Event
Arce J.

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Galapagar
6%
Draws
4%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Parla haven't matched Galapagar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Galapagar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Parla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:5
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Parla
3:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Galapagar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 95 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Galapagar's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Galapagar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS Parla
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
12 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)