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Galapagar vs Tres Cantos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Borrella J.

AI Match Summary

Tres Cantos in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tres Cantos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Galapagar
15%
Draws
26%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tres Cantos average 1.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Galapagar's 1.24.
  • Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Tres Cantos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.24 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Tres Cantos
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Galapagar
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Tres Cantos
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Galapagar
4:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Galapagar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Borrella J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 95 / 100
Tres Cantos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galapagar's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tres Cantos has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Galapagar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS Tres Cantos
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
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Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)