Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Kutucu A.
Assist: Sane L.
27'
27'
Sallai R.
40'
40'
Kutucu A.
AI Match Summary
Galatasaray in this Turkish Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Galatasaray lately — more wins on the board than Basaksehir.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Galatasaray have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Galatasaray, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Galatasaray have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 14%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Galatasaray | Basaksehir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Basaksehir
3:0
Dec 18, 2025 Turkish Cup
Galatasaray vs Basaksehir
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Galatasaray
1:2
May 30, 2025 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Basaksehir
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Galatasaray
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Galatasaray Compare
Top Goalscorer Kutucu A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Basaksehir Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Galatasaray 31 / 100
Basaksehir 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Galatasaray Basaksehir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Galatasaray scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Basaksehir let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Galatasaray went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Galatasaray VS Basaksehir
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Galatasaray
(Home) 27 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 3 Venezia
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2 Monza
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5 Galatasaray
17 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 0 Galatasaray
09 May
Galatasaray
4 : 2 Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 3 Venezia
24 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 2 Monza
09 May
Galatasaray
4 : 2 Antalyaspor
26 Apr
Galatasaray
3 : 0 Fenerbahce
22 Apr
Galatasaray
0 : 2 Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 4
Basaksehir
(Away) 22 Jul
Basaksehir
1 : 1 Inter Turku
16 Jul
Puskas Academy
0 : 2 Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
1 : 1 Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Puskas Academy
0 : 2 Basaksehir
15 Jul
Salzburg
1 : 2 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
2 : 1 Basaksehir
10 Jul
Ried
1 : 1 Basaksehir
06 Jul
Cracovia
3 : 1 Basaksehir
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
