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Galatasaray vs Samsunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Rams Park, Istanbul
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galatasaray host Samsunspor in the Super Lig. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Galatasaray have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Samsunspor's 1.31 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Galatasaray have won 4 to Samsunspor's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.25, favoring Galatasaray. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Galatasaray
15%
Draws
0%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galatasaray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galatasaray come out ahead of Samsunspor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Galatasaray a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Galatasaray have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 19%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galatasaray Samsunspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Galatasaray
4:1
Dec 5, 2025 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Samsunspor
3:2
Apr 11, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Galatasaray
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Samsunspor
3:2
Feb 2, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Galatasaray
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galatasaray 85 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galatasaray Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galatasaray Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galatasaray found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Samsunspor has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Samsunspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Galatasaray VS Samsunspor
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galatasaray

(Home)
30 Oct
Konyaspor
0 : 4
Galatasaray
26 Oct
Galatasaray
2 : 1
Fenerbahce
21 Oct
Lille
2 : 4
Galatasaray
17 Oct
Genclerbirligi
0 : 1
Galatasaray
13 Oct
Galatasaray
1 : 4
Barcelona
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Samsunspor

(Away)
24 Oct
Samsunspor
1 : 2
Amedspor
18 Oct
Kasimpasa
4 : 1
Samsunspor
10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3
Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 10 8 1 1 23:12 25
2 Amedspor 9 6 2 1 20:10 20
3 Trabzonspor 9 6 1 2 22:8 19
4 Besiktas 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
5 Fenerbahce 9 5 1 3 23:8 16
6 Corum FK 10 5 1 4 21:16 16
7 Kasimpasa 9 4 4 1 13:9 16
8 Kocaelispor 9 5 0 4 11:9 15
9 Erzurumspor FK 10 4 2 4 9:15 14
10 Goztepe 9 3 3 3 19:16 12
11 Alanyaspor 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Basaksehir 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
13 Rizespor 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
14 Gaziantep 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
15 Konyaspor 10 2 2 6 6:13 8
16 Genclerbirligi 9 2 2 5 7:18 8
17 Samsunspor 9 1 1 7 8:21 4
18 Eyupspor 9 1 0 8 2:23 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)