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Galicia vs Cajazeiras

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Baiano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cajazeiras in this Baiano 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cajazeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Galicia
20%
Draws
36%
Cajazeiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Cajazeiras average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Galicia's 1.2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cajazeiras taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cajazeiras have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Galicia Clean Sheet 20%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Cajazeiras
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Galicia
4:0
Apr 6, 2019 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Cajazeiras
1:2
Apr 14, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Galicia
1:0
Apr 7, 2018 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Cajazeiras
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 28 / 100
Cajazeiras 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Cajazeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cajazeiras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Galicia scored in 63% of their last 40 outings.

Cajazeiras let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Galicia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
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Cajazeiras

(Away)
12 May
Cajazeiras
0 : 0
UNIRB
05 May
Canaa EC
2 : 2
Cajazeiras
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
21 Apr
Cajazeiras
1 : 3
Doce Mel
14 Apr
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Galicia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alagoinhas 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
2 Cajazeiras 10 5 3 2 15:9 18
3 Colo Colo 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
4 Conquista FC 9 3 3 3 12:15 12
5 Teixeira de Freitas 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
6 Galicia 10 1 1 8 8:27 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2018 (Play Offs)