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Galicia vs Cajazeiras

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Baiano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cajazeiras in this Baiano 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cajazeiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Galicia
33%
Draws
40%
Cajazeiras
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cajazeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cajazeiras have won more games recently than Galicia.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Cajazeiras taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cajazeiras have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Galicia Clean Sheet 20%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Cajazeiras
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Galicia
4:0
Apr 6, 2019 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Cajazeiras
1:2
Apr 14, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Galicia
1:0
Apr 7, 2018 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Cajazeiras
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 28 / 100
Cajazeiras 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Cajazeiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajazeiras has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Galicia scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Solid form: Galicia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alagoinhas1053217:718
2Cajazeiras1053215:918
3Colo Colo1052314:817
4Conquista FC933312:1512
5Teixeira de Freitas932410:1011
6Galicia101188:274