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Galicia vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Galicia
20%
Draws
46%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabuna come out ahead of Galicia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Itabuna's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Itabuna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Itabuna, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Galicia Clean Sheet 23%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Itabuna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
0:1
Jul 6, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
0:0
May 18, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
2:3
Jun 1, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 21 / 100
Itabuna 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Galicia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Itabuna has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Galicia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS Itabuna
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bahia de Feira 4
Fluminense de Feira 1
Itabuna 0
Galicia 1
Final
Bahia de Feira 3
Galicia 2