Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Galicia vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Galicia Logo

Galicia

2 - 3
FT
Itabuna Logo

Itabuna

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vinicius Amaral
9' Event
Tiaguinho
17' Event
Palacios J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itabuna in this Baiano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Galicia
20%
Draws
46%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabuna have won more games recently than Galicia.
  • Win probability leans Itabuna's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Galicia Clean Sheet 20%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galicia Itabuna
Matches Played 41 35
Wins 12 16
Draws 15 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
0:1
Jul 6, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
0:0
May 18, 2025 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Itabuna
2:3
Jun 1, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Galicia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiaguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Itabuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Amaral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galicia 20 / 100
Itabuna 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galicia Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Galicia scored in 61% of their last 41 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Itabuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 51% of 35 matches.

Galicia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Galicia VS Itabuna
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Galicia

(Home)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 9

Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 Bahia de Feira 9 6 2 1 28:5 20
3 Fluminense de Feira 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
4 Galicia 9 4 3 2 20:9 15
5 EC Ypiranga 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
7 SSA 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
8 Leonico 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
9 Grapiuna 9 0 1 8 4:31 1
10 Teixeira de Freitas 9 0 1 8 0:24 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2025 (Play Offs)