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Galo Maringa vs Toledo

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Leandro Cordova
32' Event
Adiel
49' Event
Iruan

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-0, with Galo Maringa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Galo Maringa
15%
Draws
85%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Galo Maringa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Galo Maringa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Galo Maringa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Galo Maringa, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Galo Maringa have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Galo Maringa Clean Sheet 16%
Toledo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galo Maringa Toledo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Paranaense 2
Galo Maringa vs Toledo
7:0
Jun 14, 2025 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Galo Maringa
0:3
May 10, 2025 Paranaense 2
Galo Maringa vs Toledo
3:0
May 15, 2022 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Galo Maringa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galo Maringa Compare

Top Goalscorer Adiel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leandro Cordova
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Toledo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galo Maringa 36 / 100
Toledo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galo Maringa Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Galo Maringa scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Toledo conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Toledo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galo Maringa VS Toledo
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Galo Maringa

(Home)
07 Feb
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
01 Feb
Galo Maringa
0 : 5
Maringa FC
24 Jan
Athletico-PR
4 : 1
Galo Maringa
20 Jan
Galo Maringa
1 : 4
Maringa FC
17 Jan
Londrina
2 : 0
Galo Maringa
Page 1 of 6

Toledo

(Away)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Toledo 0
Galo Maringa 10
Nacional PR 2
Patriotas 1
Laranja Mecanica 4
Paranavai-PR 5
Batel 2
Foz do Iguacu 5
Semi-finals
Galo Maringa 7
Nacional PR 2
Paranavai-PR 2
Foz do Iguacu 3
Final
Galo Maringa 5
Foz do Iguacu 3