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Galway United vs St. Patricks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Galway United host St. Patricks in the Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Galway United have averaged 1.59 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against St. Patricks's 1.6 scored and 0.97 conceded. Past meetings favor St. Patricks slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.50) point toward St. Patricks. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Galway United
15%
Draws
48%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Patricks lately — more wins on the board than Galway United.
  • Model gives St. Patricks a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Galway United Clean Sheet 16%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galway United St. Patricks
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Galway United
3:0
May 1, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs St. Patricks
2:2
Mar 2, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Galway United
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Galway United
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Galway United
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 28 / 100
St. Patricks 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galway United St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galway United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

St. Patricks has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Galway United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Galway United VS St. Patricks
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galway United

(Home)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
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St. Patricks

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
3 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)