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Galway United vs Waterford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Cann H.
25'
Mahon J.
31'
Pierrot F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Galway United and Waterford finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Galway United
30%
Draws
47%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Waterford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Waterford's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Galway United Clean Sheet 15%
Waterford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galway United Waterford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Waterford
0:0
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Galway United
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Waterford
4:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier Division
Waterford vs Galway United
1:1
Jul 25, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Waterford
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galway United 23 / 100
Waterford 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galway United Waterford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Galway United scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Waterford let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Galway United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galway United VS Waterford
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Galway United

(Home)
10 Oct
Galway United
0 : 2
Derry City
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

Waterford

(Away)
09 Oct
Bohemians
0 : 2
Waterford
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Shelbourne 33 10 13 10 47:46 43
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
6 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)