Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gama vs Ceilandia

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Valmir Campelo Bezerra (Bezerrao), Gama
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Felipe Clemente
45' Event
Felipe Clemente
66' Event
Cleyton

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gama
28%
Draws
22%
Ceilandia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gama have won more games recently than Ceilandia.
  • Model gives Gama a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Ceilandia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandia
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Gama
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandia
2:1
Feb 17, 2025 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Gama
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Gama
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Clemente
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ceilandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleyton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 59 / 100
Ceilandia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Ceilandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Ceilandia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS Ceilandia
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
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Ceilandia

(Away)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama972015:423
2Samambaia962121:520
3Sobradinho952211:817
4Ceilandia951317:1216
5Capital943219:1015
6Brasiliense943213:715
7Real Brasilia931511:1310
8Paranoa92078:246
9Brasilia FC (DF)91084:193
10ARUC91083:203
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)