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Stadium Background

Gama vs Ceilandia

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Valmir Campelo Bezerra (Bezerrao), Gama
Gama Logo

Gama

2 - 1
FT
Ceilandia Logo

Ceilandia

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Felipe Clemente
45' Event
Felipe Clemente
66' Event
Cleyton
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Gama
35%
Draws
28%
Ceilandia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gama have won more games recently than Ceilandia.
  • Model gives Gama a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Ceilandia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandia
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Gama
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Ceilandia
2:1
Feb 17, 2025 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Gama
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Gama
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Clemente
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ceilandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleyton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 68 / 100
Ceilandia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Ceilandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Ceilandia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS Ceilandia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
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Ceilandia

(Away)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)