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Gama vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Henrique Almeida
90' Event
Felipe Clemente
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Gama and Porto Velho finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gama
6%
Draws
90%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gama come out ahead of Porto Velho on wins alone.
  • Porto Velho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gama Clean Sheet 10%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Porto Velho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.38 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Gama vs Porto Velho
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Gama
2:0
Jul 31, 2021 Serie D
Gama vs Porto Velho
1:1
Jul 10, 2021 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Gama
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique Almeida
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Clemente
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Porto Velho Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 10 / 100
Porto Velho 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Porto Velho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Porto Velho let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Gama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS Porto Velho
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
Porto Velho2
Gama3
America RN4
Trem1
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
CSA0
Betim FC1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
ASA6
Ivinhema1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC-
Ferroviario-
Gama-
TBD-
Luverdense-
ABC-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
Iguatu-
Treze PB-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Uberlandia-
Portuguesa-
TBD-
Sao Luiz-
ASA-
Cianorte-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-