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Gama vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Henrique Almeida
90' Event
Felipe Clemente
1' Event
dos Santos Moreira D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gama
30%
Draws
39%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gama come out ahead of Porto Velho on wins alone.
  • Porto Velho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Gama have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gama, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gama Clean Sheet 10%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Porto Velho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.7 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Gama vs Porto Velho
3:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Gama
2:0
Jul 31, 2021 Serie D
Gama vs Porto Velho
1:1
Jul 10, 2021 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Gama
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique Almeida
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Clemente
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Porto Velho Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 10 / 100
Porto Velho 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Porto Velho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Velho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Porto Velho let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Gama remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS Porto Velho
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gama

(Home)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
Page 1 of 6

Porto Velho

(Away)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3