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Gama vs Sobradinho

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Estádio Nacional Mané Garrincha
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
1 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Luan
(Penalty)
2' Event
Penalty Missed
3' Event
Henrique Almeida
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gama
33%
Draws
27%
Sobradinho
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gama lately — more wins on the board than Sobradinho.
  • Model gives Gama a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gama have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gama Sobradinho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Sobradinho
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Gama
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Brasiliense
Gama vs Sobradinho
0:0
Apr 10, 2021 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Gama
1:4
Aug 15, 2020 Brasiliense
Gama vs Sobradinho
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gama 50 / 100
Sobradinho 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gama Sobradinho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gama's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sobradinho conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gama stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gama VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gama3
Ceilandia2
Samambaia0
Sobradinho1
Final
Gama1
Sobradinho0