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Gambia U17 vs Algeria U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2009 Stade de Dar El Beïda, Algiers
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Gambia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gambia U17
15%
Draws
59%
Algeria U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeria U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gambia U17 come out ahead of Algeria U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Algeria U17 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Gambia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Algeria U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U17 Algeria U17
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 1 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2009 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Algeria U17
3:1
Mar 25, 2009 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Algeria U17 vs Gambia U17
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U17 28 / 100
Algeria U17 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U17 Algeria U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gambia U17 scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

Algeria U17 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gambia U17 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U17 VS Algeria U17
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U17

(Home)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
Page 1 of 5

Algeria U17

(Away)
05 Oct
Algeria U17
4 : 0
Qatar U18
24 May
Tanzania U17
4 : 3
Algeria U17
20 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Algeria U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2
Algeria U17
14 May
Algeria U17
2 : 2
Ghana U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gambia U17 4
Malawi U17 0
Burkina Faso U17 0
Algeria U17 1
Final
Gambia U17 3
Algeria U17 1
Malawi U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 3