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Gambia U17 vs Tunisia U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade municipal de Berrechid, Berrechid
Gambia U17 Logo

Gambia U17

1 - 2
FT
Tunisia U17 Logo

Tunisia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ben Mahmoud Y.
44'
Sub
Baba A. In: Susso B.
Out: Baba A.
45'
Danso M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tunisia U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Gambia U17
15%
Draws
21%
Tunisia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tunisia U17 haven't matched Gambia U17's recent run of results.
  • Gambia U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Gambia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tunisia U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gambia U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Tunisia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U17 Tunisia U17
Matches Played 24 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Tunisia U17
1:2
Nov 21, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gambia U17 vs Tunisia U17
1:0
Nov 6, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Tunisia U17 vs Gambia U17
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tunisia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Mahmoud Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U17 84 / 100
Tunisia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U17 Tunisia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia U17 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Gambia U17 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Tunisia U17 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U17 VS Tunisia U17
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U17

(Home)
12 Apr
Uganda U17
2 : 1
Gambia U17
07 Apr
Gambia U17
1 : 2
Tunisia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Senegal U17
1 : 0
Gambia U17
26 Oct
Ghana U17
3 : 0
Gambia U17
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Tunisia U17

(Away)
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
13 May
Morocco U17
1 : 1
Tunisia U17
15 Nov
Austria U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
09 Nov
Belgium U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)