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Gambia U20 vs Liberia U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Sat, Apr 26, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U20 2015. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Gambia U20 have averaged 1.29 scored and 0.69 conceded recently, against Liberia U20's 1 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Gambia U20 have won 3 to Liberia U20's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.73 - 0.82) back Gambia U20 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gambia U20
15%
Draws
36%
Liberia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gambia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Gambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gambia U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Liberia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U20 Liberia U20
Matches Played 35 17
Wins 19 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 0.69 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 Friendly International
Liberia U20 vs Gambia U20
0:1
Sep 1, 2022 Friendly International
Gambia U20 vs Liberia U20
4:1
Apr 26, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs Liberia U20
0:0
Apr 6, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Liberia U20 vs Gambia U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U20 31 / 100
Liberia U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U20 Liberia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liberia U20 conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

Gambia U20's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Away concern: Liberia U20 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U20 VS Liberia U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U20

(Home)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 7

Liberia U20

(Away)
23 Mar
Ivory Coast U20
6 : 1
Liberia U20
20 Mar
Ivory Coast U20
2 : 1
Liberia U20
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
25 Feb
Sierra Leone U20
1 : 5
Liberia U20
23 Feb
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U20 3
Botswana U20 2
TBD -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Mozambique U20 4
Namibia U20 2
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Nigeria U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 0
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 2
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Djibouti U20 1
Burundi U20 2
Ethiopia U20 5
Seychelles U20 0
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Guinea U20 0
Sierra Leone U20 2
Rwanda U20 -
South Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Congo U20 3
Niger U20 2
TBD -
Benin U20 -
Sudan U20 5
Somalia U20 0
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Libya U20 4
Chad U20 0
Mauritania U20 1
Tunisia U20 6
Liberia U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Guinea-Bissau U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Mali U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Morocco U20 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U20 -
Togo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Malawi U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 1
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 4
Nigeria U20 6
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 1
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 2
Burundi U20 1
Ethiopia U20 0
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Rwanda U20 0
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 4
Benin U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Egypt U20 5
Libya U20 4
Tunisia U20 2
Liberia U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Mali U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Morocco U20 4
Togo U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Malawi U20 1
Zambia U20 3
Nigeria U20 6
Lesotho U20 0
Cameroon U20 2
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 3
Egypt U20 2
Libya U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 4
Mali U20 2
Togo U20 1
TBD -
TBD -