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Gambia U20 vs Tunisia U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023
Gambia U20 Logo

Gambia U20

1 - 0
FT
Tunisia U20 Logo

Tunisia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Bajo M.
34'
Njie H.
45'
Snana Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Gambia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Gambia U20
35%
Draws
45%
Tunisia U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tunisia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gambia U20 come out ahead of Tunisia U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Gambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Tunisia U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia U20 Tunisia U20
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs Tunisia U20
1:0
Mar 5, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs Tunisia U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gambia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saine A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tunisia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia U20 32 / 100
Tunisia U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia U20 Tunisia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Gambia U20 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gambia U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia U20 VS Tunisia U20
1 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia U20

(Home)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 7

Tunisia U20

(Away)
27 Sept
Tunisia U20
0 : 0
Morocco U20
24 Sept
Algeria U20
1 : 1
Tunisia U20
08 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 1
Algeria U20
05 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 0
Algeria U20
30 Mar
Tunisia U20
3 : 0
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Egypt U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Congo U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Tunisia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Benin U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Zambia U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams