Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gambia vs Algeria

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gambia
20%
Draws
51%
Algeria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Algeria have won more games recently than Gambia.
  • Gambia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Algeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gambia Clean Sheet 10%
Algeria Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gambia Algeria
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 African Nations Championship
Algeria vs Gambia
3:0
May 3, 2025 African Nations Championship
Gambia vs Algeria
0:0
Jan 1, 2022 Friendly International
Algeria vs Gambia
0:0
Mar 22, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria vs Gambia
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Gambia vs Algeria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gambia 47 / 100
Algeria 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gambia Algeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gambia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gambia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Algeria has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Gambia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gambia VS Algeria
1 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gambia

(Home)
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1
Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2
Gambia
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7
Gambia
10 Oct
Gambia
3 : 4
Gabon
Page 1 of 6

Algeria

(Away)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comoros 0
Malawi 4
South Africa 4
Egypt 2
Gambia 1
Gabon 0
TBD -
Algeria -
Final
Malawi 1
South Africa 2
Gambia 0
Algeria 3