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Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Gancabasar in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gancabasar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Gancabasar
15%
Draws
26%
Baku Sporting
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gancabasar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gancabasar haven't matched Baku Sporting's recent run of results.
  • Gancabasar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 16%
Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gancabasar Baku Sporting
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting
2:0
May 7, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting
2:3
Feb 18, 2026 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting
1:2
Nov 5, 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Gancabasar
2:0
May 1, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Baku Sporting
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gancabasar 84 / 100
Baku Sporting 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gancabasar Baku Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gancabasar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gancabasar's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Baku Sporting's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gancabasar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gancabasar VS Baku Sporting
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gancabasar

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Gancabasar
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Baku Sporting

(Away)
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
8 Shimal 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
9 Mingachevir 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)