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Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit vs FK Masalli

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2007/2008 Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit play FK Masalli in the Premier League 2007/2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. FK Masalli averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit won 1, FK Masalli won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2008 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit and 1.31 for FK Masalli. This points to a FK Masalli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit
15%
Draws
55%
FK Masalli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Masalli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit picked up more points recently compared to FK Masalli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit Clean Sheet 18%
FK Masalli Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit FK Masalli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2008 Premier League
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit vs FK Masalli
1:0
Nov 2, 2007 Premier League
FK Masalli vs Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit 31 / 100
FK Masalli 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit FK Masalli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Masalli Win (2)
Secondary Pick FK Masalli & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit attacking → ← attacking FK Masalli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

FK Masalli let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Masalli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 33
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamakhi26184455:1858
2Shuvalan26177229:758
3Neftci Baku26167342:1855
4Khazar Lenkoran261410244:1652
5Qarabag Agdam26118725:1641
6Zaqatala PFK2699831:2536
7Gabala261131233:3636
8FK Baku26811735:2635
9Standard Sumqayit26881036:2632
10FK Masalli26861230:4030
11Karvan26651523:3623
12Turan26461621:4918
13Ganclarbirliyi Sumqayit26422021:6814
14ABN Barda26261812:5612