Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gangneung vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Jung Sung-Woo

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Gangneung and Changwon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Changwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gangneung
39%
Draws
30%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Changwon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 16%
Changwon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Changwon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Gangneung
2:1
May 18, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Gangneung
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangneung Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Sung-Woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 31 / 100
Changwon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Changwon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gangneung scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Changwon has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Gangneung went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Changwon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409