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Gangneung vs Changwon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Jung Sung-Woo

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Gangneung and Changwon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Changwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Gangneung
30%
Draws
8%
Changwon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gangneung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Changwon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Gangneung taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 68%
Changwon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Changwon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Gangneung
2:1
May 18, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Changwon
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Gangneung
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangneung Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Sung-Woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 95 / 100
Changwon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Changwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gangneung Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gangneung scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Changwon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Gangneung went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Changwon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangneung

(Home)
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Gangneung
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
25 Jul
Gangneung
1 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
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Changwon

(Away)
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)