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Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Song Tae-seong
72' Event
Koo Seung-hoon

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Gangneung and Gyeongju KHNP finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gangneung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gangneung
44%
Draws
20%
Gyeongju KHNP
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gangneung and Gyeongju KHNP have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gyeongju KHNP here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 14%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Gyeongju KHNP
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 13
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Gangneung
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:3
Sep 22, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:2
May 25, 2024 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Gangneung
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangneung Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Tae-seong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koo Seung-hoon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 35 / 100
Gyeongju KHNP 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Gyeongju KHNP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GYE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangneung's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gyeongju KHNP let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gangneung stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Gyeongju KHNP
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429