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Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Ribeiro V.

AI Match Summary

Gyeongju KHNP in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gyeongju KHNP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gangneung
20%
Draws
52%
Gyeongju KHNP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gyeongju KHNP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gyeongju KHNP at 1.47 per game, Gangneung at 1.03.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gyeongju KHNP have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 14%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangneung Gyeongju KHNP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:1
May 1, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Gangneung
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:3
Sep 22, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangneung Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangneung 35 / 100
Gyeongju KHNP 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangneung Gyeongju KHNP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyeongju KHNP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangneung scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gyeongju KHNP conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gangneung stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gangneung VS Gyeongju KHNP
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangneung

(Home)
11 Oct
Gangneung
2 : 1
Siheung Citizen
02 Oct
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Gangneung
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Gangneung
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
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Gyeongju KHNP

(Away)
11 Oct
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 1
Mokpo
04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 24 17 4 3 38:22 55
2 Pocheon 24 14 7 3 41:20 49
3 Daejeon Korail 24 12 5 7 33:19 41
4 Busan Kyotong 24 11 7 6 42:30 40
5 Gyeongju KHNP 24 9 9 6 36:32 36
6 Dangjin Citizen 24 10 4 10 47:39 34
7 Chuncheon 24 9 6 9 42:37 33
8 Gangneung 24 8 6 10 23:33 30
9 Changwon 24 7 8 9 27:31 29
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Yeoju Citizen 24 7 7 10 27:31 28
12 Mokpo 24 5 10 9 23:37 25
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 24 1 7 16 25:54 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)