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Gangwon vs Jeju SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Jang M.
36' Event
Italo
46'
Sub
Kim Gun-Hee In: Goh Young-Jun
Out: Kim Gun-Hee

AI Match Summary

Jeju SK in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jeju SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gangwon
35%
Draws
37%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jeju SK have won more games recently than Gangwon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 20%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gangwon Jeju SK
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Jeju SK
0:1
Jul 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Jeju SK
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
0:0
May 6, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gangwon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Italo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gangwon 32 / 100
Jeju SK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gangwon Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gangwon's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Jeju SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Gangwon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gangwon VS Jeju SK
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gangwon

(Home)
09 Oct
Gangwon
2 : 0
Bucheon FC 1995
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
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Jeju SK

(Away)
10 Oct
Seoul
2 : 1
Jeju SK
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)