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Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Mogadishu City Prediction & H2H Stats

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Gantaalaha Afgooye and Mogadishu City finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
15%
Draws
42%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gantaalaha Afgooye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mogadishu City come out ahead of Gantaalaha Afgooye on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mogadishu City a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gantaalaha Afgooye Mogadishu City
Matches Played 22 34
Wins 2 16
Draws 1 9
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.68
Goals Conceded 4.59 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Mogadishu City
2:4
May 20, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gantaalaha Afgooye 18 / 100
Mogadishu City 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gantaalaha Afgooye Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogadishu City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gantaalaha Afgooye scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Mogadishu City has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Mogadishu City lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gantaalaha Afgooye VS Mogadishu City
2 Goals Scored 1.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Home)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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Mogadishu City

(Away)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)