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Garbarnia vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025
Fri, Nov 15, 2024
VS
11:01 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Garbarnia play Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow in the III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025. Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow are favorites here. Recently, Garbarnia averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Garbarnia won 0, Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 15, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Garbarnia and 1.00 for Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow. This points to a Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Garbarnia
25%
Draws
60%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Garbarnia picked up more points recently compared to Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Garbarnia Clean Sheet 23%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garbarnia Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Garbarnia vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garbarnia 18 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garbarnia Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Garbarnia attacking → ← attacking Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garbarnia scored in 85% of their last 13 games.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Garbarnia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sandecja Nowy S.34228465:3174
2Podhale Nowy Targ34215867:4368
3Siarka Tarnobrzeg34205976:4265
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34196955:4063
5Avia Swidnik34188877:4462
6Korona Kielce II341710771:5061
7Star Starachowice341671161:4655
8Biala Podlaska341581159:4253
9Chelmianka Chelm341651374:6253
10Wisloka Debica341441661:5546
11Czarni Polaniec341181552:6441
12Wisla II341181572:6041
13Swidniczanka Swidnik341091544:5439
14Wislanie Skawina341091541:6039
15Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341071750:6837
16Wiazownica34791838:7030
17Lewart Lubartow34542531:8519
18Unia Tarnow34242828:10610