Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Garching vs Kottern-St. Mang

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Barth S.
33' Event
Oswald R.
35' Event
Jocham M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2023/2024 game between Garching and Kottern-St. Mang finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Garching
30%
Draws
16%
Kottern-St. Mang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Garching

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kottern-St. Mang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Garching are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Garching Clean Sheet 20%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garching Kottern-St. Mang
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 12
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Garching vs Kottern-St. Mang
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Garching
4:1
Apr 21, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Garching vs Kottern-St. Mang
0:5
Sep 17, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Garching
1:3
Apr 16, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Garching vs Kottern-St. Mang
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garching Compare

Top Goalscorer Oswald R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinabov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kottern-St. Mang Compare

Top Goalscorer Barth S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jocham M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garching 40 / 100
Kottern-St. Mang 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garching Kottern-St. Mang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garching Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Garching scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kottern-St. Mang conceded in 79% of 38 recent games.

Garching has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kottern-St. Mang
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Garching

(Home)
01 Jun
Garching
4 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
29 May
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Garching
25 May
Garching
2 : 2
Seebach
22 May
Seebach
2 : 4
Garching
18 May
Garching
4 : 5
Deisenhofen
Page 1 of 6

Kottern-St. Mang

(Away)
29 Aug
Gundelfingen
1 : 1
Kottern-St. Mang
21 Aug
Kottern-St. Mang
0 : 1
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
18 Aug
Deisenhofen
0 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
14 Aug
Kottern-St. Mang
0 : 1
Landshut
08 Aug
Hankofen-Hailing
2 : 1
Kottern-St. Mang
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Erlbach 34 21 6 7 50:28 69
2 Heimstetten 34 21 5 8 64:37 68
3 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 20 7 7 76:35 67
4 Landsberg 34 21 3 10 86:52 66
5 Deisenhofen 34 18 9 7 68:37 63
6 Nordlingen 34 17 7 10 66:50 58
7 Munich 1860 II 34 16 7 11 62:49 55
8 Pipinsried 34 12 11 11 47:41 47
9 Kottern-St. Mang 34 12 11 11 59:53 47
10 Sonthofen 34 13 6 15 53:50 45
11 Rain/Lech 34 13 5 16 43:54 44
12 Kirchanschoring 34 12 7 15 38:49 43
13 Ismaning 34 12 7 15 44:62 43
14 Dachau 34 12 5 17 53:69 41
15 Gundelfingen 34 10 5 19 40:57 35
16 Turkspor Augsburg 34 6 11 17 29:52 29
17 Garching 34 6 4 24 37:86 22
18 Kirchheimer 34 3 6 25 38:92 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 (Relegation)