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Garcia Agreda vs Aurora

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2015/2016 game between Garcia Agreda and Aurora finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Garcia Agreda
20%
Draws
69%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Aurora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Garcia Agreda Clean Sheet 19%
Aurora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garcia Agreda Aurora
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 15 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.35 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Aurora
0:0
Feb 14, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Garcia Agreda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garcia Agreda 10 / 100
Aurora 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garcia Agreda Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garcia Agreda found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Aurora conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Garcia Agreda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aurora
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Garcia Agreda

(Home)
15 Jul
Garcia Agreda
1 : 4
Municipal de Tarija
09 Jul
Atletico Bermejo
3 : 0
Garcia Agreda
25 Jun
Garcia Agreda
0 : 0
Ciclon
18 Jun
Municipalidad de Yacuiba
2 : 1
Garcia Agreda
11 Jun
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 1
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 8

Aurora

(Away)
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Tarija 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
2 Em Huanuni 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Royal Pari 6 2 2 2 4:3 8
4 Quebracho Villa Montes 6 2 0 4 5:9 6
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 6 5 1 0 15:2 16
2 Universitario Beni 6 2 2 2 7:10 8
3 Aurora 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Garcia Agreda 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Final Stage)