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Garde Republicaine vs Port

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Garde Republicaine
40%
Draws
29%
Port
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Port lately — more wins on the board than Garde Republicaine.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 20%
Port Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garde Republicaine Port
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Division 1
Port vs Garde Republicaine
0:0
Jan 10, 2025 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs Port
0:1
Apr 19, 2024 Division 1
Port vs Garde Republicaine
0:1
Dec 8, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs Port
0:2
Apr 18, 2023 Division 1
Port vs Garde Republicaine
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garde Republicaine 32 / 100
Port 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garde Republicaine Port

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Garde Republicaine scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Port let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Garde Republicaine VS Port
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Garde Republicaine

(Home)
30 Jul
Mahia
1 : 0
Garde Republicaine
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
Page 1 of 7

Port

(Away)
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
21 Sept
Port
1 : 2
KMKM
18 May
Port
1 : 2
Dikhil
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
24 Apr
Port
1 : 2
AS Arta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)