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Gardnersville vs Black Man Warrior

Liberia Liberia

Orange Cup
Thu, Apr 30, 2026
2 - 3
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Black Man Warrior in this Orange Cup tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gardnersville
22%
Draws
60%
Black Man Warrior
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gardnersville lately — more wins on the board than Black Man Warrior.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Black Man Warrior taking it.
  • Gardnersville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Black Man Warrior, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 14%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardnersville Black Man Warrior
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs Black Man Warrior
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Orange Cup
Gardnersville vs Black Man Warrior
2:3
Apr 22, 2026 Orange Cup
Black Man Warrior vs Gardnersville
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Gardnersville
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardnersville 19 / 100
Black Man Warrior 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardnersville Black Man Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gardnersville scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Black Man Warrior let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gardnersville has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gardnersville VS Black Man Warrior
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gardnersville

(Home)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 6

Black Man Warrior

(Away)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Black Man Warrior1
Watanga0
Gardnersville2
Downtown0
BEA Mountain1
Freeport3
FC Fassell0
Shaita2
Semi-finals
Black Man Warrior4
Gardnersville3
Freeport1
Shaita2
Final
Black Man Warrior2
Shaita1