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Gardnersville vs Downtown

Liberia Liberia

Orange Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Gardnersville advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gardnersville
40%
Draws
29%
Downtown
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gardnersville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Gardnersville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gardnersville, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gardnersville have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 14%
Downtown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardnersville Downtown
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs Downtown
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Orange Cup
Gardnersville vs Downtown
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 LFA First Division
Downtown vs Gardnersville
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardnersville 31 / 100
Downtown 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardnersville Downtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gardnersville scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Downtown let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Gardnersville has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gardnersville VS Downtown
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gardnersville

(Home)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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Downtown

(Away)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
14 May
Downtown
1 : 0
Borough FC
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Black Man Warrior1
Watanga0
Gardnersville2
Downtown0
BEA Mountain1
Freeport3
FC Fassell0
Shaita2
Semi-finals
Black Man Warrior4
Gardnersville3
Freeport1
Shaita2
Final
Black Man Warrior2
Shaita1